Sunday 26 June 2011

WIMBLEDON, ONE WEEK IN.

As we embark on the business end of the Wimmbledon fortnight, it's interesting to reflect on what's happened so far.

In the mens' championship, the 'Big 3' are all through to round 4, though Djokovic had a mighty struggle against Baghdatis on Saturday. He looked tired and not altogether comfortable although he summoned enough from memory to take him through; whether he can go much further has to be seen. He has to get passed Llodra before he would then face an easy next match on paper in the quarters, but late on Saturday, he looked as though walking on to court might be a problem.

In contrast, Nadal has looked increasingly confident and Federer has looked back to his (almost) invincible best; he's strolled through his matches so far and has carried on the superb form he showed in Paris. The difference is that this is grass, not clay, and that might be enough to see him win the trophy. Nadal now has to face the big-hitting Del Potro, followed by Berdych or Fish before he gets to Murray - will confidence be enough ? Federer has to see off Youzny and either Ferrer or Tsonga - on current form, no problem.

Our own 'Great White Hope'. Andy Murray, has also progressed well after a nervous start. and will come up against an old adversary, Richard Gasquet, on Monday. He ought to win and should make it through to the semi-final, as his presumed quarter final opponent is one of the unseeded Kubot or Lopez.

Who will prevail ? For me, it's a straight fight between the 'Big 2' - Nadal and Federer, with Federer just shading it because of the surface. Djokovic looks spent and Murray is Murray.

In the womens', it's service as usual. Many of the seeds have gone and the Williams sisters, despite hardly playing for ages, are still there. The main contenders ought to be the world number 1, Caroline Wozniacki, Sharapova and Azarenka, but who would bet against another Williams victory ? Wozniacki, in my book, has no chance, Sharapova tends to be brittle and Azarenka has guts but can she really win ? The dark horse, without a doubt, is the unseeded Sabine Lisicki, a player who's been out of action with injuries for a long time but would have been well up in the seedings otherwise. Her prospective quarter final opponent is Serena, and the winner of this match will probably make the final; on the other side of the net could well be the 5 times champion, Venus, though Azarenka has a clear shout.

If Serena retains her title after her year out and pretty horrific time, it would be a miracle; if Venus wins, it won't be far short. I'd go for a final between Azarenka and Lisicki, with something of a fairytale finish for the unseeded German but, with the women, anything's possible.

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